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The dynamics in Group B of the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations have created a compelling scenario heading into the final round of matches. Here’s a breakdown of what Egypt and Ghana must do to secure a spot in the last 16:
1. Cape Verde’s Dominance
Cape Verde has already secured the top spot in Group B, winning their first two matches and accumulating six points. They are set for the knockout round, allowing them the luxury of potentially resting key players in their final group game against Egypt.
2. Egypt’s Position
Egypt currently sits in second place with two points after two draws. The Pharaohs face Cape Verde in their last group match. To automatically qualify for the last 16:
– A victory against Cape Verde will secure Egypt’s spot in the knockout stage.
– A draw might be enough, provided the match between Mozambique and Ghana also ends in a draw.
3. Cape Verde’s Perspective
Cape Verde, having already clinched first place, may opt to rest key players in their match against Egypt. A draw will still maintain their top position. If Egypt fails to secure a win, Cape Verde will remain Group B winners.
4. Ghana and Mozambique’s Chance
Both Ghana and Mozambique are still in contention, each with one point. To advance to the last 16:
– Ghana and Mozambique must win their showdown on January 22.
– A third-placed team with four points might secure a last-16 spot.
5. Potential Three-way Tie
There’s a possibility of a three-way tie for second place in Group B if:
– Egypt loses to Cape Verde.
– The Ghana vs. Mozambique match ends in a draw.
In this case, the team with the most goals scored in head-to-head matches among the tied teams will finish second. If still tied, goal difference in all group matches becomes the next tie-breaker.
6. Ghana and Egypt’s Potential Downfall
If Egypt loses to Cape Verde and the Ghana loses to Mozambique, Ghana and Egypt will bow out of the Group stage. However, Egypt with 2 points might have a slim chance of advancing to the next stage which would depend on the performance of other third-placed teams across other groups.
