Research firm Global InfoAnalytics has projected a decisive victory for John Dramani Mahama, the National Democratic Congress (NDC) flagbearer, in Ghana’s upcoming 2024 presidential election.
According to the report, Mahama is expected to secure 52.2% of the vote, defeating the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, who is projected to garner 41.4%. Other candidates, including Alan Kyeremanten and independent candidate Nana Kwame Bediako, are forecasted to receive 2.5% and 3.0%, respectively, with minor candidates collectively accounting for 0.9%.
Parliamentary Predictions
The NDC is also projected to dominate the parliamentary landscape with an estimated 150 seats, compared to the NPP’s 99 seats. One independent candidate is predicted to secure a seat, while 29 constituencies remain highly competitive.
Regional Insights
Mahama is anticipated to win in key regions such as:
- Greater Accra
- Central
- Western
- Volta
- Bono East
Bawumia, however, is expected to retain dominance in:
- Ashanti
- Eastern
- Bono
- North East
Voter Turnout
The report predicts an average voter turnout of 77.6%, with regional variations influencing the final outcome.
Global InfoAnalytics has pledged to provide a detailed breakdown of constituency-specific predictions after the December 7, 2024, elections.